Front projector market reveals pockets of growth amid ongoing transitions

The front projector market is undergoing a continuing transformation, with many segments facing challenges while some are showing resilience. In an eroding landscape, Futuresource Consulting’s latest report uncovers hidden growth pockets and, despite the market’s overall shift, the future will provide opportunities for those prepared to adapt to the changing tide.

Rising stars in emerging markets

While global value dipped by 17% in Q4, ending the quarter on $1.08 billion in sales, certain regions are bucking the trend. Indonesia, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, parts of the Middle East, Maghreb and Eastern Europe are showing a year-on-year increase. These regions are exhibiting demand for large-format, cost-effective projection technology, in certain contexts favouring front projection as a clear choice over competitors like LCD or LED.

“The price-per-inch benefit of projection technology also continues to drive purchases,” says David Thompson, Lead Market Analyst, Futuresource Consulting. “In parts of APAC, where projectors are often seen as the most economical choice for large-format displays, the value of this advantage is clear.

Competition intensifies in mainstream segments

While LCD displays continue to present strong competition in mainstream segments like education and corporate environments, particularly in the US, Western Europe and China, the LED display market continues to grow due to decreasing costs. However, the installation and large venue segment remains resilient for front projection.

“There is still a clear demand for high-quality projection solutions in immersive experiences and other specialised applications,” says Thompson. “Projection technology continues to deliver unparalleled benefits in areas where other formats cannot compete, particularly in high-demand creative fields.”

Navigating the EU mercury bulb ban

Several significant developments are set to influence the front projector market over the next few years. One of the most notable is the EU mercury bulb ban, which is due to take effect in February 2027. This regulation is driving a shift towards laser and LED light-source models, accelerating the transition to more sustainable technologies.

While there is mounting pressure for an extension of the exemption covering projectors until 2032, the industry is already adapting to these changes with innovative solutions.

Trump Tariffs reshape supply chains as brands seek alternatives

Another key factor influencing the market is the ongoing impact of Trump tariffs, particularly those on imports from China. While some brands may absorb these additional costs to stay competitive, the overall situation is prompting companies to adjust their supply chains and explore new manufacturing alternatives. However, tariffs on Mexico also eliminate it as a viable alternative to manufacturing in China.

A challenging future for front projection

While the overall outlook for the front projector market remains difficult, some segments show enduring strength, driven by both creative applications and the cost advantages of projection technology. As regional markets expand, and as companies adapt to new regulatory and competitive pressures, some bright spots will remain.

About Futuresource Consulting

Futuresource Consulting, established in the 1980s, is a leading research and consulting firm specialising in global market analysis, forecasts and strategic insights. With a deep understanding of emerging trends and technologies, Futuresource helps businesses navigate complex markets and make informed decisions.

Futuresource Consulting’s new Front Projector Market Report provides a valuable roadmap for navigating market shifts. With key insights into trends, regional growth and competitive dynamics, the report offers manufacturers and retailers the tools they need to stay ahead in an evolving industry. To learn more or to make a purchase, please contact johnny.woodman@futuresource-hq.com. 

Press Contact: Nicola Finn, Marketing Manager, Futuresource Consulting, nicola.finn@futuresource-hq.com

About the author

David Thompson

David Thompson joined Futuresource as the Lead Analyst for Projection in January 2024. He is responsible for the delivery of Futuresource’s quarterly Front Projector Market Reports and Online Projector Market Tracker, as well as worldwide forecasting for the projector market. David previously spent four years working within the Opportunity Markets and Global Strategy teams at Sony, building a strong experience of analytical reporting in the technology sector before joining Futuresource.